CIP Mozambique Elections | Let the numbers talk – 3 : In Gaza, even the ghosts boycotted

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CIP Mozambique Elections | Let the numbers talk – 3 : In Gaza, even the ghosts boycotted

8:50 CAT | 11 Nov 2024

Image: CIP

The CNE and its chair Bishop Carlos Matsinhe definitely believe in ghosts and allow them to vote. But in most parts of Gaza, even the ghosts did not vote for Frelimo. Nevertheless, Gaza has six extra parliamentary seats entirely for ghosts, which could be enough to push Frelimo over three-quarters of AR seats. That would allow Frelimo to change the constitution unilaterally. So the ghosts are doing their job, even without voting.

Gaza has only 800,000 voting age adults, but 1.2 million voters registered, which means 400,000 voters – one-third of all voters – are ghosts. Because the National Elections Commission (CNE) does not allow an audit of the voters roll, it is impossible to check on the ghosts.

The table below shows that Gaza is sharply divided. The more sparsely populated northern part of Gaza really is Frelimostan. There are seven districts which all have a turnout over 86%, which includes many ghosts, and more than 97% vote for Frelimo.

Chokwe is a larger urban area and has the highest proportion of ghost voters – with 98,000 registered ghost voters. That means that for every 3 adults, there are 2 ghosts. There must be ghosts everywhere in the city. In Chokwe 88% vote for Frelimo.

However two-thirds of registered voters and two-thirds of voting age adults live in the more urbanized south of Gaza. Most of the ghosts are there too, but these ghosts did not vote. Turnout in Mandlakaze, Xai Xai and Chibuto was 34%, 35% and 36%, some of the lowest in the country, and that included some ghost voters. That looks very much like a boycott aimed at Frelimo.

There were observers in a quarter of Chibuto polling stations, and in the 75 observed, 23 had a turnout of 10% or fewer; in Mandlakaza 9 observed polling stations had turnout under 10%: and in Xai Xai 6 observed polling stations had a turnout of under 6%. Chibuto had one polling station with a turnout of only 2.6%; only 12 people voted, 7 for Chapo and 5 for Mondlane. Clearly, the ghosts were not voting.

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